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20130113
20130121
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cliff was a friendly family discussion compared to this hatfield/mccoy environment that's unfolding with regard to spending. >> so you think this whole story is going to have some real heart-stopping moments for the markets? >> i think there will be huge consequences. recall that in the summer of 2011 the last time we faced this that the dow went down 1800 points in july and august. now, granted there were some other issues in europe that were a concern. but we could see some serious consequences as a result of these -- this inability to have a discussion on spending cuts. >> i know you're a bond specialist, but apple reducing their iphone orders and so forth. apple fell 3.5% today. $18 to 501. is this apple reduction in ipad orders, is this symbolic of an economy that's getting weaker? >> well, i think so. i think -- well, we have heard some people say that, yes, it's part apple. the company. but also, i think it is symbolic of just people not having enough certainty of what kind of money they will have in the future to spend on items such as what apple offers. >> at the same time,
. one of the leaders of this market, banks. financials. can that last in this environment? >> i mean look banks have a long way that they fell and they've had a long pathway back to something circa 2006-2007. they sri lankan as a percentage of market gap in the s&p. they are no longer dominant. that's all for the best. we have a much more diversified market. we should. i wouldn't say that the banks need to lead this matter. they've done very well. >> who is going to lead the market? >> i think you'll have a market without leadership but that doesn't mean a market that doesn't go up. you have multiple sectors of strength. technology. be inning to see how amazon does. you have a global economy growing modestly. >> are you worry about apple? >> as a company? no. am i concerned about apple as a stock at 500, i will be glad if we talked less about apple. it's one company amongst many. anybody in silicon valley has to be worried about the fact that their franchise is of extremely short duration. >> boeing. this boeing story is creeping up, getting worse on a daily basis. would you get rid
returns, what you're telling clients for the next three to five years? >> in this environment, we're actually asking our clients to think about three things. first we're going to have low interest rates for awhile. so they need to adjust their expected returns. so in a low interest rate environment we're going to have lower returns across all asset classes. second, we're telling our clients that as they think about the lower returns in the context of their portfolios, they also need to recognize that we are going to have volatility from incremental policy on a global basis. whether it's in the u.s., europe, japan or emerging market countries. we are expecting that policy, whether it's monetary policy adjustments, fiscal policy, it will all be incremental. and that will create market pressure because it won't be at a pace that the markets would like to see. so that will introduce volatility. and it's not something our clients should try to trace. they should look over the horizon and invest for the long run. >> looking at the long run, three to five-year term outlook if you look at
Search Results 0 to 2 of about 3